LATEST NEWS FROM PARTNER CAP X
18 November 2016
If Trump declares a trade war, China will fight back - At the Marrakech climate conference, Trump casts a chilling shadow - Britain’s relationship with India must be about more than trade - It’s official: Western politics is now defunct - Rethinking overpopulation
US-China relations could be about to go downhill very fast. If the President-elect's campaign rhetoric is to be believed, Mr Trump is very keen to impose punitive trade tariffs on Chinese goods as soon as he can. Roughly 70 per cent of the US's total trade deficit is with China, a country whose export market is stagnating. As relations between the two powers are already chilly, China would have no qualms about retaliating - and a Sino-American war wouldn't just be about trade.
The Paris Agreement was dependent on American voters supplying a climate-friendly successor to President Obama. This has not happened. For those from the developing world, Donald Trump endangers the subsidies promised to help them cope. Yet the country for whom a Trump administration represents the greatest strategic dilemma is Britain, who will not be looked on kindly for planning to phasing out the importation of American coal.
When she left India last week, Theresa May boasted that she had sealed £1 billion of deals. Reviews in the Indian press were less kind: the country is not only waiting to see what happens with Brexit, but still upset over the recent tightening of visa restrictions. In any event, Britain's obsessive focus on trade blinds it to the wider shared interests which could help the two countries build a far stronger relationship.
The US has managed to come full circle, replacing its first black president with a reprehensible demagogue - and it's progressive liberals who were responsible. For decades, they conveniently forgot about those who weren’t benefiting from free trade and open borders. Now, faced with the horrifying outcome of that indifference, they cannot continue to ignore the not-so-silent majority.
The world isn't as overcrowded as we might have thought. Australia has the most extreme population concentration in the world with half of its 23 million residents packed into a handful of spaces. Nearly half the population of the whole of North Africa lives along the banks of the Nile River. In fact, the maps produced by the World Economic Forum show that 50 per cent of the world's population lives in a mere 1 per cent of its land.
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